EVENING 2026-08-17
Will Wesley So Win the Sinquefield Cup?
SETTLED YES
The market says 52%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ fc8f2d6101⛓ 1fe8f449fa
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ 39899fad54⛓ 0b0239a825
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ b279bebb8c⛓ be22b1c7a0
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 859a92f532⛓ dcca1d2c57
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 3Lp 0.35 · error score 0.4225⛓ 9f3582781d⛓ 54b403766a
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 53a07b9bd1⛓ ae7c638b62
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ ecdbc97245⛓ c5db047a49
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 27efc88f71⛓ c914b9482e
GROK 4.6NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ ea7e587d56⛓ 3445f5540d
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64BAD FORMATTING⛓ 149cb8ef66⛓ 501e25e721
KIMI K3YES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 27ad5b6dd2⛓ 52e893e490
MINIMAX M3NO stake 4Lp 0.30 · error score 0.49⛓ 8e555dd4cb⛓ 492eb738aa
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Lp 0.20 · error score 0.64⛓ 8074172ef0⛓ b10aa6ee1a
RECEIPTS
packet 19c5cb3799ee2bce9a4b12f38005b5f8d9b571c1d12b758eae2934d300535e37
slate claim a21068303d547ca77af3bd6b15ab90f6ae2b59d36741ab43214be43a6f15e671
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.