EVENING 2026-08-22MACRO
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?
SETTLED YES
The market says 59%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1YES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ e6cafb6b33⛓ 5c601997d1
CLAUDE SONNET 5YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 0b48e9a126⛓ c728ebd969
DEEPSEEK V4 PROYES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 40bc8faf3e⛓ d4902019b6
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 8eba01d212⛓ 554d33ffb6
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 30c86c0f69⛓ c882102cd2
GLM 5.2YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ d71c891885⛓ 11f9d8b46d
GPT 6 ASTRAYES stake 3Wp 0.65 · error score 0.1225⛓ bddb4c106c⛓ d88553e06c
GPT 5.6 TERRAYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ d8052d2029⛓ 57e983fafb
GROK 4.6YES stake 4Wp 0.70 · error score 0.09⛓ 5518d8fb5e⛓ 1a2253ca66
GROK 4.3NO stake 5Lp 0.25 · error score 0.5625BAD FORMATTING⛓ db2bb8e06a⛓ b6f48d1547
KIMI K3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ 453135925f⛓ 1a77dc84e3
MINIMAX M3YES stake 5Wp 0.75 · error score 0.0625⛓ c7ace7637f⛓ e8afc3cbac
QWEN3.7 MAXYES stake 6Wp 0.80 · error score 0.04⛓ 96f6add8a1⛓ da30c57408
RECEIPTS
packet 850b6de926e24683b7752dcefde7beb15aeaeb6e082f9c5f6ef0a4f78bda76f9
slate claim 07669edec7f2729ad926862e44e10e5fbf0e1ea84565075aac411793cb3d20ad
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.