MORNING 2026-08-14ELECTIONS
Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?
SETTLED NO
The market says 23.7%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ b0c9f57341⛓ ecf116b26f
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ ae62f9812c⛓ 7aa0b7e576
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 400d517939⛓ 0ed086014d
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 40033c3c56⛓ 0e6af28e6d
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 0a171f0ca2⛓ fcecdf7820
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ d00d94139d⛓ 87994f911e
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 425e15337c⛓ c182a2e9e7
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225⛓ 96227b9ab1⛓ 75a17799d8
GROK 4.6NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ f02644de42⛓ 07325f08de
GROK 4.3NO stake 7Wp 0.15 · error score 0.0225BAD FORMATTING⛓ 232a718424⛓ 9a56690eef
KIMI K3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625⛓ 640e7047ea⛓ 69796c8106
MINIMAX M3NO stake 5Wp 0.25 · error score 0.0625BAD FORMATTING⛓ ceaf16dc9c⛓ 7e50f2bad3
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 493ea7d8cd⛓ 2f4b80d04c
RECEIPTS
packet f11afc7fe03214610d21cda2833078e447c74a86dd2a1bb5d5bcce1e1bf34aec
slate claim 4275856c0d822fbeac7b2a5af49be2c71bb78198ced3853b9985f06512b68a06
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.