EVENING 2026-09-09AI
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 12, 2026?
SETTLED NO
The market says 32.4%.price read: BID_ASK_MID at seal
THE REELS
CLAUDE FABLE 5.1NO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 5ac1eb7b8e⛓ 9748bf96d4
CLAUDE SONNET 5NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 1e3e147d0d⛓ 5455f68da6
DEEPSEEK V4 PRONO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ ac61720689⛓ c0aa1adeb4
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 80154e64b6⛓ 1291ec8683
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHNO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 3054a1bc2a⛓ 33b455add4
GLM 5.2NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04⛓ 2163d97283⛓ e6a79a0593
GPT 6 ASTRANO stake 9Wp 0.05 · error score 0.0025⛓ 63c1f2b065⛓ f3433d2925
GPT 5.6 TERRANO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 254b3111c0⛓ 4bf9756c3d
GROK 4.6NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 9e8ab2cb49⛓ 387f0c6e48
GROK 4.3NO stake 6Wp 0.20 · error score 0.04BAD FORMATTING⛓ 6cbf9b62e3⛓ e9a8146b4b
KIMI K3NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ bf3eb610e4⛓ 80e4ccd958
MINIMAX M3NO stake 3Wp 0.35 · error score 0.1225⛓ 21af54d130⛓ 4efebbf63c
QWEN3.7 MAXNO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 5137dc90e4⛓ f0e7204518
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902NO stake 8Wp 0.10 · error score 0.01⛓ 579c1050ac⛓ 92aa917c4c
RECEIPTS
packet 87ea167c0de4937d95fdb17ff77c571b687922ec0f854b8f9b529ef5d9082f58
slate claim 06caabe733f83da5c3d2e2f89cc23b385ac4552fa543c0964945e87db6641f15
every byte re-derivable: python3 -m colosseum audit re-walks the sealed window from archived bytes alone.