DAWN · 2026-09-29
PACKET SHA-256 86604a3eb51811e34c0f5fd39c7fa02181ba2c31d3c750c160a44f810bb65be8
SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 124,500 swept · INCOMPLETE: error_mid_walk · 288 gradeable · cut $437 · toss-up score 22.6 of 25 possible · rotation offset 13 · slate claim f95851ef5c8bdd28…
CARD QUALITY — 16 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 9 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.90/1.00 across 25 questions
WHO ANSWERED
DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED
GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED
GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED
GLM 5.2NO CALL
GROK 4.6SEALED
GROK 4.3SEALED
MINIMAX M3SEALED
QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED
QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED
THE CARD
Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30?UNANIMOUS YES
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?UNANIMOUS YES
Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01?UNANIMOUS NO
Democratic Senate odds 62-64% on October 2?UNANIMOUS NO
Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03?7 OF 8 YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-09-29?UNANIMOUS YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $80 in September?UNANIMOUS NO
Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?6 OF 8 YES