MORNING · 2026-09-15

PACKET SHA-256 b9a2c08aaf4c8e2cdb25ca7ef200000d21a526a08c272dc6c4ec2ca89280af58

SLATE-LAWS-4.4 · 25 markets · 138,261 swept · INCOMPLETE: board_end · 380 gradeable · cut $5,662 · toss-up score 23.3 of 25 possible · rotation offset 24 · slate claim 10709f1310e5f9dc…

CARD QUALITY — 19 COIN FLIPS (priced 30–70¢) · 6 CONTESTED · toss-up score 0.93/1.00 across 25 questions

WHO ANSWERED

CLAUDE FABLE 5.1SEALED

CLAUDE SONNET 5VOID

DEEPSEEK V4 PROSEALED

GEMINI 3.8 FLASHSEALED

GEMINI 3.7 FLASHSEALED

GLM 5.2SEALED

GPT 6 ASTRAVOID

GPT 5.6 TERRASEALED

GROK 4.6SEALED

GROK 4.3SEALED

KIMI K3SEALED

MINIMAX M3SEALED

QWEN3.7 MAXSEALED

QWEN3.8 MAX 0902SEALED

THE CARD

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysNO

Will Mary Brascia / Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Ben Johns / Federico Staksrud advance to the Semifinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 21?YES

Will Brooke Buckner / Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Semifinals in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 17?NO

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-16?YES

Will Kate Fahey / Ting Chieh Wei advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to ScoreNO

Will Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Warsh say "Labor Force" during September Press Conference?NO

Will Chao Yi Wang advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Craig Johnson / Riley Newman advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Michael Loyd advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on September 18?NO

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?NO

Will Eric Oncins / Noe Khlif advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Christian Alshon advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20?NO

Will Julia Ronney advance to the Semifinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?NO

Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-09-19?NO

Will Parris Todd / Andrei Daescu advance to the Semifinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Ben Johns / Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Quarterfinals in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?YES

Will Andy Burnham say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during the next PMQ?11 OF 12 NO

Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina?YES